UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris odds, predictions: MMA insider enters surprising picks

Heavyweights have been busy since the UFC returned to action, and a pair of top-10 contenders meet on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris, the promotion’s third event in a week. The rankings could see movement after No. 8-ranked Alistair Overeem and No. 9-ranked Walt Harris collide atop the UFC Fight Night card in Jacksonville. The event will be held at the fighting promotion’s temporary home, Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena, as it resumes action amid the coronavirus pandemic.

The prior two cards featured key heavyweight battles as second-ranked Francis Ngannou scored a 40-second knockout of Jairzinho Rozenstruik last weekend. Perennial contender Ben Rothwell earned a decision win against Ovince Saint Preux on Wednesday. On Saturday, Harris is a -150 favorite (risk $150 to win $100), while Overeem is a +125 underdog (risk $100 to win $125) in the latest Overeem vs. Harris odds at William Hill. In the co-main event, Claudia Gadelha (-185) faces Angela Hill (+165) in a matchup of bantamweight prospects. Before locking in your selections for Fight Night: Harris vs. Overeem, check out what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say

At UFC 249 last weekend, Marley told SportsLine members to back champion Henry Cejudo (-240) in his bantamweight title defense against former champ Dominick Cruz (+200). He was proven correct when Cejudo rattled Cruz with a knee to the face and finished him with ground-and-pound for a stoppage in the second round. And on Wednesday, Marley told SportsLine members to back underdog Glover Teixeira (+145) in the main event against Anthony Smith (-165). Teixeira dominated the action and earned a fifth-round stoppage. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. 

Now, with Harris vs. Overeem fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the UFC Jacksonville card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those MMA predictions are only available here.

Overeem vs. Harris preview

The No. 8-ranked Overeem (45-18-1) is one of the most accomplished mixed martial artists in heavyweight history. The 39-year-old is a former kickboxing champion who also has held the Strikeforce and DREAM heavyweight crowns. 

His resume includes victories over luminaries like Brock Lesnar, Fabricio Werdum, Mark Hunt, Frank Mir and Junior Dos Santos. But he was turned back in a title shot at UFC 203 in September 2016, suffering a first-round knockout to Stipe Miocic. The Dutch fighter has split his last six UFC bouts, with all of the defeats coming by stoppage.

Harris (13-7-1), ranked No. 9, started his UFC career with a 3-4 mark after losing his debut with the promotion in January 2014. But the 36-year-old Alabama native appears to be a late bloomer, as he has gone 3-0-1 in his last four bouts, with all of the wins coming by early stoppage. 

Harris won both of his bouts in 2019, scoring knockouts of Sergey Spivak and Aleksei Oleinik. He received Performance of the Night bonuses for both showings. You can see Marley’s full Harris vs. Overeem prediction and picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night predictions for May 16

We’ll reveal one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night selections here: He is backing Miguel Baeza (-200) to get a stoppage victory against Matt Brown (+180) in a welterweight bout. 

Nicknamed “Caramel Thunder,” Baeza (8-0) has accelerated through the ranks with an impressive start to his career that included stops at promotions like Titan FC and Fight Time. The 27-year-old Florida resident won his UFC debut in October with a second-round technical knockout of Hector Aldana. 

Brown (22-16) is a UFC icon who made his debut with the promotion in 2008. He has shared the Octagon with many of the sport’s biggest names and has victories against the likes of Stephen Thompson and Tim Means. The 39-year-old Ohio native once fought a welterweight title eliminator against Robbie Lawler, who won the match and unified the belt in his next bout. Brown comes in on a two-fight win streak to offset a three-bout skid. 

“Baeza looks like the bigger, stronger and faster fighter,” Marley told SportsLine. “Brown is toward the end of his career, so this price is correct.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris picks

Marley also has strong picks for Harris vs. Overeem and every other bout on the May 16 UFC Fight Night card. He’s also backing one fighter “who can dictate where his fight takes place.” You can see those selections at SportsLine

Who wins Harris vs. Overeem? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight on the UFC Fight Night: Harris vs. Overeem card, all from the accomplished expert who’s up almost $19,000, and find out.

UFC Fight Night: Harris vs. Overeem odds

Walt Harris (-150) vs. Alistair Overeem (+125)
Claudia Gadelha (-185) vs. Angela Hill (+165)
Edson Barboza (-130) vs. Dan Ige (+110)
Krzysztof Jotko (-155) vs. Eryk Anders (+130)
Song Yadong (-185) vs. Marlon Vera (+165)
Miguel Baeza (-200) vs. Matt Brown (+180)
Kevin Holland (-115) vs. Anthony Hernandez (-105)
Giga Chikadze (-400) vs. Irwin Rivera (+310)
Darren Elkins (-115) vs. Nate Landwehr (-105)
Cortney Casey (-160) vs. Mara Romero Borella (+140)
Don’tale Mayes (-120) vs. Rodrigo Nascimento (+100)

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