UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira predictions, odds, picks: Best bets on the fight card by top MMA expert

Going the distance in a mixed martial arts fight is a rarity for Anthony Smith, as he has done so in only four of his 46 career bouts. The likelihood of it happening could be small once again when he takes on Glover Teixeira in a light heavyweight battle at UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira on Wednesday. The main UFC Fight Night card is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET from VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville. Smith has split his quartet of decisions, losing the last two, but has seen all but 10 of his fights end within two rounds.

His last three bouts lasted more than 10 minutes, but only one went the limit, while only nine of Teixeira’s 37 career fights have gone to the scorecard. But who wins? Smith is a -188 favorite (risk $188 to win $100), while Teixeira is a +160 underdog in the latest Smith vs. Teixeira odds from William Hill. In the co-main event, Ovince Saint Preux (-15) faces Ben Rothwell (+125) in a heavyweight battle. Before making your UFC Fight Night picks, make sure you see what SportsLine MMA analyst Brandon Wise has to say

A CBS Sports editor specializing in MMA, Wise has been dissecting the sport for five years. He specializes in picking main-card fights for UFC, which has enabled him to be profitable every year. Wise went a perfect 5-0 at UFC 239 and was 4-1 at UFC 245 and UFC 249. He also nailed Khabib Nurmagomedov’s destruction of Conor McGregor in 2018, Stipe Miocic’s upset of Daniel Cormier and Max Holloway’s downfall in 2019. Across UFC 247, UFC 248 and UFC 249, Wise went an amazing 11-4 with his main-card picks, returning healthy profits for anyone following them.

Wise also nailed the main event of UFC 249 last Saturday, telling SportsLine members to expect Justin Gaethje (+155) to upset Tony Ferguson (-180) for the interim lightweight title. He argued that Ferguson would have difficulty focusing after having only a month to prepare for Gaethje and lose via TKO. He was proven correct after the underdog stopped “El Cucuy” in the fifth round. Anyone who has consistently followed Wise is way up. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira fast approaching, Wise carefully has studied every matchup on the main card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for each fight. He’s only sharing those selections here

Smith vs. Teixeira expert preview

Wise knows Smith is looking to earn another shot at light heavyweight champion Jon Jones after dropping a unanimous decision in their meeting at UFC 235 in March 2019. The 31-year-old Texan bounced back from that defeat by submitting Alexander Gustafsson three months later. 

Smith (32-14) has recorded more than half of his victories via knockout (18) and also has a dozen submission wins on his resume. Ranked third in the division after moving up in weight less than two years ago, he held the middleweight title in the Victory Fighting Championships and Cage Fury Fighting Championships. 

The eighth-ranked Teixeira (30-7) is coming off a split-decision victory over Nikita Krylov in September that followed submission wins against Ion Cutelaba and Karl Roberson earlier in 2019. The 40-year-old Brazilian, a former Shooto South America 220-pound champion, is tied with Jones and Saint Preux for most finishes in the light heavyweight division in UFC history (10) and shares the record for most submission wins (five) in the weight class. You can see Wise’s full Smith vs. Teixeira picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night predictions

Wise is backing Drew Dober (-125) to defeat Alexander Hernandez (+105) in a lightweight bout. Dober (22-9, 1 NC) is coming off a quick victory over Nasrat Paqparast at UFC 246 in January, scoring a TKO just 70 seconds into the fight. The 31-year-old southpaw, whose previous win was three seconds shorter, is fifth in UFC lightweight history in shortest average fight time (6:41) and sixth in knockdown average per 15 minutes (0.93).

Hernandez (11-2) had his eight-fight winning streak halted by Donald Cerrone in January 2019 but got back in the win column six months later. The 27-year-old, who is the 15th-ranked lightweight in the UFC, won a unanimous decision over Francisco Trinaldo despite the fact many in attendance felt the Brazilian deserved the victory. 

How to make UFC Fight Night picks

Wise also has strong picks for Smith vs. Teixeira and every other bout on the main UFC Fight Night card. He’s also backing a fighter who has the “hot hand.” Get every pick for every fight on the UFC Fight Night main card at SportsLine

Who wins Smith vs. Teixeira? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight on Wednesday’s main UFC fight card, all from the accomplished expert who has been profitable for five straight years, and find out.

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira odds

Anthony Smith (-188) vs. Glover Teixeira (+160)
Ovince Saint Preux (-135) vs. Ben Rothwell (+115)
Drew Dober (-125) vs. Alexander Hernandez (+105)
Ricky Simon (-165) vs. Ray Borg (+140)
Philipe Lins (-170) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+150)
Michael Johnson (-110) vs. Thiago Moises (-110)

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